NFL Season Win Totals Expert Picks: Cantor Gaming Releases Early Odds

Cantor Gaming released early NFL season win totals odds earlier this week. This is actually a pretty bold move from Cantor. The draft, free agency and the schedule release have yet to happen, so the sportsbook is really exposed to sharp bettors by releasing these numbers months before any other books would dare to do so. However, word is that they have a $500 limit for these wagers, which means the sharp bettors can’t do too much damage. There’s no doubt that how these are bet by the wise guys will determine where the season win total numbers land when most books release them after the draft/schedule in late April/early May.

Since there is not a lot we can write about involving Survivor Pools in February, here are my picks for each of the 32 NFL teams’ over/under win total number. For those new to this type of betting, the sportsbooks release a number for each team and the bettors simply must make a bet whether their chosen team goes “over” or “under” that win total for the season (playoffs not included in the totals). Bookies will adjust the moneyline for either the over or under depending on how their clientele is betting these props.

Without further ado:

2015 NFL Season Win Totals Picks

2015 NFL season win totals, odds, 2014 actual wins

49ers 8.5 wins (OVER -120, UNDER -110); 2014 wins: 8: Love the over here. This team was taken down a notch last season due to drama in the locker room, but the talent is here and they are primed for a big bounce back this season.

Bears 7 wins (OVER -115, UNDER -115); 2014 wins: 5: We think this total is about right and would stay away from a bet here. We think the Bears will be better next season. However, the Packers and Lions are much better teams right now, and the Vikings will be improved also, so not sure where the extra wins will come from.

Bengals 8.5 wins (OVER -105, UNDER -125); 2014 wins: 10: This season win total is right on the mark as well. The Bengals normally do well in the regular season and should contend for the division, but the door is also open for the Steelers and/or Ravens if Cincy falters even a little.

Bills 8.5 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 9: We love Rex Ryan and we love the defense this team already has. If quarterbacks grew on trees we think the Bills would be a Super Bowl contender. Big on the over here as this is a playoff team in our eyes.

Broncos 10 wins (OVER -130, UNDER +100); 2014 wins: 12: UNDER. Peyton Manning should retire while he is near the top because I always remember Brett Favre looking like an old man on the sidelines getting injured after he played for too long after being the iron man of the league for so many years. Manning won’t last all season if he comes back at all.

Browns 6 wins (OVER -125, UNDER -105); 2014 wins: 7: We liked the heart this team fought with last year despite a lack of talent. This squad had a horrible offseason with off-field issues for QB Johnny Manziel and WR Josh Gordon. Wins are going to be tough to come by in the division. Under.

Buccaneers 5.5 wins (OVER -130, UNDER +100); 2014 wins: 2: We think Lovie Smith will show some progress in Year 2. There always seems to be a surprise team in this division, and maybe this is it. Lean slightly over.

Cardinals 8 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 11: Over. This team is improving every year, and if Carson Palmer can stay healthy this team has a great chance to win the division because we have a feeling Seattle is going to regress a bit.

Chargers 8.5 wins (OVER -115, UNDER -115); 2014 wins: 9: We lean under on this one. We think this team will get to 7-9 wins, so this one is too close to call.

Chiefs 8.5 (OVER -105, UNDER -125); 2014 wins: 9: Over. We think this team is a couple wide receivers away from being a contender, and they should make some moves in the offseason despite limited cap space. They are better than San Diego, and Denver might be lousy this year if Manning retires or has any injury issues.

Colts 9.5 wins (OVER -120, UNDER -110); 2014 wins: 11: This is going to be the new dominant team in the AFC, and it’s just a matter of time until they reach their first Super Bowl of the Andrew Luck era. Over.

Cowboys 9.5 wins (OVER -115, UNDER -115); 2014 wins: 12: The talent is here, but this is a team that just can’t handle success. But the division is there for the taking as it should be Philly and Dallas battling it out for a playoff spot. Too close to call but lean over slightly.

Dolphins 8 wins (OVER +100, UNDER -130); 2014 wins: 8: This team will probably be good for 7-9 wins, so this one is too close to call. Pretty sure this one will wind up as a push with the team finishing with eight wins, but if the ball bounces their way in a couple games they could compete for the division if New England has a Super Bowl hangover.

Eagles 9 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 10: See: Cowboys. This team will fight it out with Dallas for the NFC East and should get between 8 and 10 wins. Think this team will win the division, so lean over on this one.

Falcons 8 wins (OVER -120, UNDER -110); 2014 wins: 6: Under. This team has too many holes to compete for a playoff spot this season. Pretty solid on the under here before seeing how the draft goes and the schedule pans out.

Giants 8 wins (OVER +100, UNDER -130); 2014 wins: 6: Under. We don’t see this team improving much from the last couple of seasons.

Jaguars 5.5 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 3: We like the coaching here and think Blake Bortles will improve. This should start to be a much better team and think they will get six or more wins, so the over seems like a solid play.

Jets 6.5 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 4: This team should be better, but we think it is a stretch to think they can win more than three games than last season. Lean over but would not bet this one until we see how the roster shakes out after free agency and the draft.

Lions 8.5 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 11: Big on the over here. Like what this team did a lot last season and they should be very good again in 2015. They have the QB and players to compliment him.

Packers 10 wins (OVER -145, UNDER +115); 2014 wins: 12: Ten wins sounds about right and could be more if Aaron Rodgers stays healthy all season. But the division is improving, and maybe it’s the Lions time to shine?

Panthers 8.5 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 7: Big on the over here as well. This team has a few holes to fill, which we expect them to do in the offseason, and this team should be a Super Bowl contender.

Patriots 10.5 wins (OVER -135, UNDER +105); 2014 wins: 12: We always take the Super Bowl champ to regress the next season. We think that will be the case here as well. But with a healthy Tom Brady at QB, this team is good for 10-11 wins. Staying away from this one.

Raiders 4.5 wins (OVER -140, UNDER +110); 2014 wins: 3: We think this team will be better, and we think this team finally has a QB in Derek Carr. This team should be much-improved, and doubling its win total doesn’t seem too crazy. Over. Proceed with caution, however, because this is the Raiders after all.

Rams 7.5 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 6: No team, other than maybe Minnesota, played with more heart last season despite a weak roster, but this team needs many players and would be hard-pressed to win eight games in such a tough division next season. Under.

Ravens 9 wins (OVER -120 , UNDER -110); 2014 wins: 10: This team is in a tough division and will win right around 8-9 games. Lean under but won’t be betting on this one, or any team in the AFC North for that matter.

Redskins 6 wins (OVER -115 , UNDER -115); 2014 wins: 4: It was time to end the Robert Griffin experiment a couple years ago. As he goes so does this team, and until we see otherwise it has to be under for this club.

Saints 9 wins (OVER -110, UNDER -120); 2014 wins: 7: Think the time has passed for this team. They were not even great at home last season as that has always been their calling card. We see the Panthers as the division champ here and are big on the under for the Saints.

Seahawks 11 wins (OVER +100, UNDER -130); 2014 wins: 12: Under. This is a solid team but not the best in the league in our eyes, and the loser of the Super Bowl tends to struggle the next season. Think this team is due for a regression.

Steelers 8.5 wins (OVER -115, UNDER -115); 2014 wins: 11: We think this team has the best chance to unseat the Bengals as division champs so would lean over for them more than the Ravens, but this division is tricky and we will stay away from any bets here until the rosters and schedule are stable.

Texans 8.5 wins (OVER +100 , UNDER -130); 2014 wins: 9: This seems to be team trending upwards. Too bad they are in the same division as the Colts, which really hurts them because the Colts are going to win the AFC South every year as long as Luck stays healthy. Still lean over here, though.

Titans 5 wins (OVER -130 , UNDER +100); 2014 wins: 2 Under here. This team will probably be improved because, hey, there is nowhere to go but up. Four more wins than last season seems like a stretch, however, and this team needs a lot of help in the draft.

Vikings 6.5 wins (OVER -120 , UNDER -110); 2014 wins: 7: Over. This team now has its QB and played exceptionally hard last season despite the Adrian Peterson drama. We think this team will be in contention for a wild card towards the end of the year.